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Feb 14, 2013
02/13
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the eu -- not eu. i keep saying eu. eurozone, sorry, my apologies, fourth quarter gdp number minus 0.6%, points to about an annual contraction of around 0.5% if my numbers are right. portuguese annual quality around 1.8% quarter on quarter. 1.9% in the third quarter. the year on year, 3.8%. again, that is worse than expected. >> well, because, again, to annualize these figures, and this is what i'm used to looking.1.8% on the quarter points to something like 6.7% annualized pace. it's a really deep decline. >> meanwhile, did we mention this? greece's economy, unemployment rate sitting 27% as of november. >>> so with those numbers, let's get out to jens nordic. we are just seeing euro/dollar to 1.3340. we hit a little weaker than this, 1.3 25, somewhere around there. where -- and dollar index is at a one-month high. do these gdp numbers matter for the future direction of the euro? because a lot of people are pointed to do pmi and the ifo signaling the worst is behind us. >> i think they actually do matter. i think we're
the eu -- not eu. i keep saying eu. eurozone, sorry, my apologies, fourth quarter gdp number minus 0.6%, points to about an annual contraction of around 0.5% if my numbers are right. portuguese annual quality around 1.8% quarter on quarter. 1.9% in the third quarter. the year on year, 3.8%. again, that is worse than expected. >> well, because, again, to annualize these figures, and this is what i'm used to looking.1.8% on the quarter points to something like 6.7% annualized pace. it's a...
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Feb 18, 2013
02/13
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most eu countries including eu and france support bonus curves holing banks to a one to one bonuses salary ratio. the newspaper says the uk has suggested an alternative proposal that bans cash bonuses exceeding salaries. but still, a pretty extraordinary development as it moves forward the. >> yeah. meanwhile, being a part of europe, for most britains, a new poll reveals that only one in three british citizens would vote to stay in the eu. the conservative ruling british government last night promised to hold a referendum on the matter in 2017. and the troubles amounting to the spanish flagship airline iberia is likely to cause widespread chaos and cost the airline millions. the strike begins tonight. 70,000 passengers are likely to be affected, piling further pressure on the nation's already struggling tourist industry. iberia report a loss of 25 2 million euros during the first nine months of 2012. >>> francesca is still with us. we want to get your thoughts on a km of themes here. i know we've been talking about the eu, we've did you discussed how you see the euro special being a headwi
most eu countries including eu and france support bonus curves holing banks to a one to one bonuses salary ratio. the newspaper says the uk has suggested an alternative proposal that bans cash bonuses exceeding salaries. but still, a pretty extraordinary development as it moves forward the. >> yeah. meanwhile, being a part of europe, for most britains, a new poll reveals that only one in three british citizens would vote to stay in the eu. the conservative ruling british government last...
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Feb 5, 2013
02/13
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we have francois hollande today speaking to the eu parliament. he's going to lay out his vision for the eu against that economic back drop. >> isn't it amazing? we come into the week yesterday with everyone still talking. you have that great barons cover, you come in, just get the risk trade massively off. and the question for today and the rest of the week is frankly whether that's a bump in the road or the start of a down trend. >> you have the front cover, these are all good contra indicators. >> sorry, media friends. but this is not exactly the best of -- >> we always have timing. on today's show, we're in zurich where we hear from the ceo of ubs about the group's outlook. the swiss bank won to a loss in the fourth quarter. >> and is we'll head out to california for a look at the next offer. it's due to be released later today. we'll be live in madrid as the spanish prime minister's party pledges to fight corruption allegations that have prompted calls for his resition naz. >> and for its to earn its annual forecast on a weaker yen, we have i
we have francois hollande today speaking to the eu parliament. he's going to lay out his vision for the eu against that economic back drop. >> isn't it amazing? we come into the week yesterday with everyone still talking. you have that great barons cover, you come in, just get the risk trade massively off. and the question for today and the rest of the week is frankly whether that's a bump in the road or the start of a down trend. >> you have the front cover, these are all good...
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Feb 7, 2013
02/13
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mark carney to sit down in his chair and begin that testimony, jean-claude junker says he expects the eu to real a deep on the budget today. juncker said the last of an agreement would be disastrous for the region. julia is in brussels. julia, are we going to get a budget? mr. cameron has said, look, i don't want it frozen, i want it cut. so what's going to happen? >> well, we're moving in the direction of cuts. i think the positive news is that if you compare what we were talking about in november, we've cut around 80 billion euros from the 1 trillion euro target that they were looking at back in november. so we are moving in the right direction, but with regard to the decision today, i think if you've been listening to angela merkel to david cameron himself and francois hollande this week, the indication is that perhaps we shouldn't be as optimistic as jean-claude juncker would have us believe, but someone has to fly the flag for europe and we like our posturing in europe. overall, what rewe looking at? germany, the uk, the nordic european countries are fighting for cuts, real term cut
mark carney to sit down in his chair and begin that testimony, jean-claude junker says he expects the eu to real a deep on the budget today. juncker said the last of an agreement would be disastrous for the region. julia is in brussels. julia, are we going to get a budget? mr. cameron has said, look, i don't want it frozen, i want it cut. so what's going to happen? >> well, we're moving in the direction of cuts. i think the positive news is that if you compare what we were talking about...
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Feb 22, 2013
02/13
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we'll get a check on europe's growth process spengts for the eu forecast. we'll head live to brussels for a live press conference. in other news, boeing is set to unveil a plan to help its troubled dreamliner to take flight today. and we're rolling out the red carpet. we'll head to tinsel town to the biggest night in hollywood. find out which films are tipped to win big at this year's oscars. fears are mounting that an inconclusive election this weekend could undermine the euro and set back markets in italy. hans, as we edge closer to that event, polls open sunday and they close on monday. we've seen the two-day sell off. is it related to the outcome here? >> well, i think the italian election has had an impact on market performance for the past few weeks. i guess that markets became much more cautious in investing in the debt market in italy and maybe as well as the debt market in spain, the cause of the potential inflation risk here. now, if we are getting an election result which markets may like, then the very clear majority left and under those circums
we'll get a check on europe's growth process spengts for the eu forecast. we'll head live to brussels for a live press conference. in other news, boeing is set to unveil a plan to help its troubled dreamliner to take flight today. and we're rolling out the red carpet. we'll head to tinsel town to the biggest night in hollywood. find out which films are tipped to win big at this year's oscars. fears are mounting that an inconclusive election this weekend could undermine the euro and set back...
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Feb 12, 2013
02/13
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the eu secured council called an emergency meeting. chery joins us now from seoul. can you tell us first of all what the general reaction has been there and a lot bit about the impact of the economy. we're watching, for example, the south korea and won take a hit this morning. >> well within not much of a reaction on the kospi. it did end down just about 0.26% here. but i wouldn't say it's a big tumble and it is korean won gained. i think by now investors have learned that north korea related tensions and developments, geopolitical issues like this have had impact on the korean market. so that explains the absence of such strong reaction on the stock market. but the latest that we have on this development is that we have china's reaction to north korea's nuclear tests, as well. china's foreign ministry statement goes that it is china's firm stance to realize nonnuclearization for the korean peninsula and prevent a nuclear proliferation and maintain peace and stability in northeast asia. remember, china is north korea's probably one and only ally and that it's been p
the eu secured council called an emergency meeting. chery joins us now from seoul. can you tell us first of all what the general reaction has been there and a lot bit about the impact of the economy. we're watching, for example, the south korea and won take a hit this morning. >> well within not much of a reaction on the kospi. it did end down just about 0.26% here. but i wouldn't say it's a big tumble and it is korean won gained. i think by now investors have learned that north korea...
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Feb 6, 2013
02/13
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we need to have our own perspective inside the eu. and also in a global sense in the coming years. food security, changes, climate changes, water, etc. just to be clear, the referendum question has to be in or out. >> that is a question for the british government. >> i think it would be premature to have the discussion. we need to know what they actually want in this discussion. we will choose to find out over the next few years. >> well, i think it is the british government who can decide what it should be. so we have to see what outcome we want. >> i think we have chase that rabbit. >> next question from the floor? >> gentlemen, a lady there? >> hello, i am amy kellogg from fox. this is a question for the prime minister. the u.s. needs to make some serious budget cuts in the coming months to avoid the fiscal cliff. both of you have gone through the process of making budget cuts in their own countries. i'm wondering if you can share any lessons learned for the united states as it starts to make its own budget cuts. >> i am sure that they are waiting with baited breath. yes, i woul
we need to have our own perspective inside the eu. and also in a global sense in the coming years. food security, changes, climate changes, water, etc. just to be clear, the referendum question has to be in or out. >> that is a question for the british government. >> i think it would be premature to have the discussion. we need to know what they actually want in this discussion. we will choose to find out over the next few years. >> well, i think it is the british government...
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Feb 22, 2013
02/13
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india eu, yes. i would be, i think remiss if i convey the impression that with our economic relationship with the united states that i was trying to sound -- it's not what i was trying to do, was to say that with all trading partners, inevitably you get involved with the market issues and arguments over one particular aspect of trade or the other. what i was hoping was that since all of america and its need to focus on that, put all these into something like a trade policy forum, separately. by the media, give made substantial improvements. i believe is going to be a meeting in able where hope we'll be able to find -- [inaudible]. we have made a great deal of progress in matters relating to industry, agriculture. and services, napster would make it is certainly getting to a lot of attention. we are conscious that negotiating time and negotiating attention, yet the same set of people who are debating these issues with all the partners. we need to conclude this and we certainly will be looking for a w
india eu, yes. i would be, i think remiss if i convey the impression that with our economic relationship with the united states that i was trying to sound -- it's not what i was trying to do, was to say that with all trading partners, inevitably you get involved with the market issues and arguments over one particular aspect of trade or the other. what i was hoping was that since all of america and its need to focus on that, put all these into something like a trade policy forum, separately. by...
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Feb 4, 2013
02/13
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you say you're cautious on some of the bulge names in part because of the eu risk is higher in those. how serious do you take a day like today on that front? >> well, our biggest concern really is the continued unstable nature of greece. i think spain and italy will be fine as long as greece doesn't create a chain reaction, which i think it will. and i'm still very concerned about what is going on there. but as you guys pointed out, you know, you came into early 10, early 11, early 12 and felt good, trends were good and the eu kind of put the kibosh on ceo confidence and capital markets activity. i'm concerned about that. >> you seem less worried. >> we're more worried about the u.s. economy. i think what we're seeing now in the marketplace makes sense. we had the megabanks lead the rally late last year. we recently have switched to the regional banks outperforming the megabanks and now we're getting that normal consolidation period which is to be expected. look at the ten-year treasury yield, that's what we say. if above ten for first quarter -- above 2% for first quarter, then earni
you say you're cautious on some of the bulge names in part because of the eu risk is higher in those. how serious do you take a day like today on that front? >> well, our biggest concern really is the continued unstable nature of greece. i think spain and italy will be fine as long as greece doesn't create a chain reaction, which i think it will. and i'm still very concerned about what is going on there. but as you guys pointed out, you know, you came into early 10, early 11, early 12 and...
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Feb 13, 2013
02/13
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he did lay out things like trade agreement with the eu, natural gas, in terms of balancing the budget, how you do that. probably disagreement how he gets there and talked about manufacturing and immigration. seems like a few ideas some business leaders could get on board. from the business roundtable they liked immigration and natural gas parts. obviously, there's a lot of other stuff in there they didn't lik like. >> personally, i can't believe in 2013 we're still having an immigration discussion. >> yeah. >> i think this whole matter should have been resolved years ago. i still think it should be resolved and resolved quickly. thick this who i think this whole focus protecting the border, et cetera. nobody's coming to the united states anymore. the jobs aren't here. in reference to your comments about the president's speech last night, i think this whole direction of renaissance of manufacturing is wonderful. it's terrific. the only problem is we don't have the talented -- we don't have the bodies. so if i were betting, i would say the more the president encoura encourages domestic
he did lay out things like trade agreement with the eu, natural gas, in terms of balancing the budget, how you do that. probably disagreement how he gets there and talked about manufacturing and immigration. seems like a few ideas some business leaders could get on board. from the business roundtable they liked immigration and natural gas parts. obviously, there's a lot of other stuff in there they didn't lik like. >> personally, i can't believe in 2013 we're still having an immigration...
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Feb 21, 2013
02/13
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this seems to be one more driven by growth worries coming out of the eu. take a quick look at the damage that's brought in terms of the currency board. the euro over here, there we go, dooits it's down about 0.8%. as for sterling that's also weaker, but just a little bit. the dollar did strengthen significantly after the fed yesterday. everyone is saying it's an overreaction to the fed minutes. we know that what they'ring god is conditions don't stay put. >>> back over here, citi's chairman is not seeking a break-up of the bank. a story in today's wall street journal says michael o'neill was among those encouraging investors not to break up the bank. he is backing abroad cost cutting plans, but exploring a break-up is no longer said to be among his top priorities. >>> and top equity firm sports ing represents tennis players and lots of people including super model giselle bundchen. back in the day owned roger federer. the decision to sell has been driven by the trustee who own tess state of the former ceo and chairman. peemp say it could fetch mother than
this seems to be one more driven by growth worries coming out of the eu. take a quick look at the damage that's brought in terms of the currency board. the euro over here, there we go, dooits it's down about 0.8%. as for sterling that's also weaker, but just a little bit. the dollar did strengthen significantly after the fed yesterday. everyone is saying it's an overreaction to the fed minutes. we know that what they'ring god is conditions don't stay put. >>> back over here, citi's...
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Feb 21, 2013
02/13
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eu emissions are down like 9%. but chinese emissions are up 30%. look at, look at where the coal is being burned. i think in five years india is supposed to become the second largest burner of coal right behind china. so the global picture on emissions is, if the national one wasn't enough to make you cry, i mean, just sort of think globally as sort of where we're going, you know? so, that's the crying part. and you asked me bright spots so. i mean there actually are, there actually are some, relax, i mean, the news, car standards that were just promulgated will double fuel economy by 2020 five. california is moving ahead and i think is a real bright spot. rggi is strengthening their targets. that's a bright spot. the cap-and-trade in australia looks like, i mean, who knows, another government might fall over their program here but it's a bright spot. they have got a plan. they have got a program. south korea is thinking about instituting emissions trading. china has seven sort of experiments around the country looking at emissions trading. so you
eu emissions are down like 9%. but chinese emissions are up 30%. look at, look at where the coal is being burned. i think in five years india is supposed to become the second largest burner of coal right behind china. so the global picture on emissions is, if the national one wasn't enough to make you cry, i mean, just sort of think globally as sort of where we're going, you know? so, that's the crying part. and you asked me bright spots so. i mean there actually are, there actually are some,...
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Feb 19, 2013
02/13
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street journal" front page -- inside "the baltimore sun" -- then in foreign affairs news -- then, the eu decides not to arm rebels in syria -- that is the washington post this morning. bp is ready for court -- the washington post is reporting about strange bedfellows -- there is a provision in the bill that charges a smoker 50% more for medications and patience to do not use a stick -- who do not use tobacco. here is a quote -- we're talking about armed guards in school. we have time for one more phone call. nick in columbus -- colombia, maryland, you're the last. caller: good morning. thank you for having me on. host: what are your thoughts? caller: we are very reactive, not proactive. it is only a matter of time before we should have expected something like this to happen in a school. this keeps repeating and repeating. we put guards in their pour about four years. then we cut money out of the budget. something will happen, we will put them back in. for my republican friends who said he wants teachers to take training, they cannot stop dating our students. how will they be able to carr
street journal" front page -- inside "the baltimore sun" -- then in foreign affairs news -- then, the eu decides not to arm rebels in syria -- that is the washington post this morning. bp is ready for court -- the washington post is reporting about strange bedfellows -- there is a provision in the bill that charges a smoker 50% more for medications and patience to do not use a stick -- who do not use tobacco. here is a quote -- we're talking about armed guards in school. we have...
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Feb 28, 2013
02/13
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that some kind of special actions, for instance, or giving special job opportunities for -- and the eu commission is already discussing this i think this is something that has to be added, and that, i hope, will also increase the understanding of the population of these countries. >> what do you think about what the bank of japan is doing right now with its policies, really pressuring the yen, that adds pressure, in turn, to the euro, which has pushed higher, versus the yen on these things, the u.s. watches that very closely. what do you think of their policy? >> yes, of course, we do watch it. but i think it's much overblown to speak of the currency war, something like that. what we observe is that the japanese central bank, the japanese government, wants to avoid the deflationary development, which i think makes a lot of sense. so i'm not too much concerned about that. >> so it's not a beggar thy neighbor policy at this point with the central banks around the globe? >> no. if it really leads to higher growth, that is the intention to have, then it's not beggar thy neighbor, then it's
that some kind of special actions, for instance, or giving special job opportunities for -- and the eu commission is already discussing this i think this is something that has to be added, and that, i hope, will also increase the understanding of the population of these countries. >> what do you think about what the bank of japan is doing right now with its policies, really pressuring the yen, that adds pressure, in turn, to the euro, which has pushed higher, versus the yen on these...
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Feb 8, 2013
02/13
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there hasn't been a ton of move responding to the eu budget meeting which is reportedly winding up right now. there has been a lot of auction. adding 20% candidate as i can see here. the stoxx 600 is adding about 0.5% all told. take a look at this, bwin.com, there's talks about new jersey governor chris christie opening up online gaming. it leaves the possibility out there for atlantic city casinos to offer games like poker online. so bwin has a join venture with boyd gaming which is licensed in new jersey. and the view among analysts is that other states, potentially federal legislation could follow suit. this is a small step in the direction of perhaps allowing more and more of the u.s. market to gamble online, like you can already with this one. up 19%. watch shares generally speaking in the gaming session today because you can expect there will probably be some similar moves. just the final word, we saw the yen strengthening avenue the yen appeared to talk down some of its easing moves. the yen was still 1% stronger. the nikkei ended the day 12-day winning streak with one of its long
there hasn't been a ton of move responding to the eu budget meeting which is reportedly winding up right now. there has been a lot of auction. adding 20% candidate as i can see here. the stoxx 600 is adding about 0.5% all told. take a look at this, bwin.com, there's talks about new jersey governor chris christie opening up online gaming. it leaves the possibility out there for atlantic city casinos to offer games like poker online. so bwin has a join venture with boyd gaming which is licensed...
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Feb 12, 2013
02/13
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/eu free trade agreement. >> i disagree with that. >> they have big deficiencies, and actually a bulwark on standard setting -- >> you disagree with the idea of trade -- >> no i definitely think trade boosts growth and want to see more net exports. what i have never seen is a connection between free trade agreements and an increase in our gdp or even our positive trade balance. more often than not -- >> when you look at nafta, haven't they finally concluded that there were more jobs created here because we were selling more? >> no, in fact, nafta is a -- nafta is a good example -- >> trade balance with mexico went negative. i'm saying after nafta our trade deficit with mexico went from positive to negative. >> nothing happens in a vacuum. >> it's a -- >> but -- >> current -- >> intellectually -- >> don't you know that free trade -- >> absolutely. i'm all for free trade. the nafta we were just talking about, it was 1200 pages. it actually doesn't take that long to write a free trade agreement. the nafta and many others -- >> that was shorter than the health care reform bill? >> you know,
/eu free trade agreement. >> i disagree with that. >> they have big deficiencies, and actually a bulwark on standard setting -- >> you disagree with the idea of trade -- >> no i definitely think trade boosts growth and want to see more net exports. what i have never seen is a connection between free trade agreements and an increase in our gdp or even our positive trade balance. more often than not -- >> when you look at nafta, haven't they finally concluded that...
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Feb 26, 2013
02/13
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reforms going, getting some -- doing some of the things necessary to live up to their commitment to the eu. does this throw a wrench into the works? >> i think we should be thinking about it. the somewhat untold story is that -- >> you heard of this guy before this? >> absolutely. >> was he funny. >> he's funny. it would be a little bit like -- >> jackie mason? >> no -- >> seinfeld. >> robin williams or somebody. he was big in the '80s this guy. he also has been a big part of the political satire, all the rest of it. very, very bright guy. but you know, it's almost an a listic party. it's july real just truly a protest vote. to my knowledge it's gotten over 25% of the vote, the latest thing i've seen. monti is the best of the best. i honestly believe that is one of the, you know, on democracies it's easier to give stuff away. >> two years ago he had just started and i asked why are these pictures of monti in a beach chair. and they all said send monti to the beach. that was two years ago. >> yeah, he's only been in there a group -- grillo is moving. five-star movement is only three years o
reforms going, getting some -- doing some of the things necessary to live up to their commitment to the eu. does this throw a wrench into the works? >> i think we should be thinking about it. the somewhat untold story is that -- >> you heard of this guy before this? >> absolutely. >> was he funny. >> he's funny. it would be a little bit like -- >> jackie mason? >> no -- >> seinfeld. >> robin williams or somebody. he was big in the '80s this...
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Feb 11, 2013
02/13
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later in the day, investors will keep an eye on the meeting of finance minsters from the 17 eu countrys that use the euro. taking a live look at the big board, the dow is down 30. the nasdaq is down 6. s&p down 2. >>> apple could soon come out with something new. the new york times says apple is testing a new device that's worn like a watch. the paper says the device is made of glass and runs on a mobile operating system. analysts say apple products already have fashion appeal so the idea of wearing an apple product is not much of a stretch. >>> australian lawmakers want to know why their citizens must pay so much for iphones, ipads. an iphone that sells for $500 in the u.s. costs $540 there despite the australian dollar being worth than the u.s. dollar. >>> 7:45. well, an investigation by san francisco city attorneys into how some city employees used city computers should wrap up soon. the p.u.c. is working with the district attorney to investigate that several work employees used the computers to download pornography and gamble online. the inappropriate use of looking at explicitly se
later in the day, investors will keep an eye on the meeting of finance minsters from the 17 eu countrys that use the euro. taking a live look at the big board, the dow is down 30. the nasdaq is down 6. s&p down 2. >>> apple could soon come out with something new. the new york times says apple is testing a new device that's worn like a watch. the paper says the device is made of glass and runs on a mobile operating system. analysts say apple products already have fashion appeal so...
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Feb 15, 2013
02/13
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. >> we have scotland and then we will have the eu probably about 16 or 17 after the next -- >> i've invited you to be the 51st state over here. >> that's all you will be over here. >> you try to tax us without representation, we'll try to -- >> it's a good number. >> martin b what do you think about the referendum? >> i got myself into trouble by saying that it increases uncertainty. it's what i called the fifth grace one and so there's more uncertainty now. from a political point of view, there's -- >> because of the referendum? right. the prime minister made the right decision. the uk sort of right wing party, it liked the tea party, i guess, in some respects has gained 16% of the vote according to the polls. take more from the trres or from labor. so i think the prime minister was concerned about that. having a referendum laid it out. we did some polling, online polling after the speech. they thought the referendum was right. content of the speech was good, they would vote for the coming out of. there's a lot of work to be done until we get to the referendum what does it mean tor
. >> we have scotland and then we will have the eu probably about 16 or 17 after the next -- >> i've invited you to be the 51st state over here. >> that's all you will be over here. >> you try to tax us without representation, we'll try to -- >> it's a good number. >> martin b what do you think about the referendum? >> i got myself into trouble by saying that it increases uncertainty. it's what i called the fifth grace one and so there's more...
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Feb 25, 2013
02/13
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the eu is providing non-legal aid, i am wondering if the u.s. is considering this? and if you are ceding influence for the ron. afghanistan has asked u.s. troops to leave the province and i think within two weeks, can we get your comment on that? >> with respect to afghanistan, i understand the concerns they have expressed. appropriately, when a complaint they may have thought to be appropriately evaluated. they will be, i assure you. i have taken appropriate note and i have had a great deal of involvement in afghanistan with president karzai. there are evaluations of how things might have gone wrong or might have changed. we are working on a bilateral security arrangement and this transition process. we have had a very good conversation with the president. president obama talked to him before making announcements. we have listened very carefully to his observations about wanting to speed up the transition with respect to management of security. i can assure you that we are finely attuned to the needs of the afghan people, and the most effective ways to make this tr
the eu is providing non-legal aid, i am wondering if the u.s. is considering this? and if you are ceding influence for the ron. afghanistan has asked u.s. troops to leave the province and i think within two weeks, can we get your comment on that? >> with respect to afghanistan, i understand the concerns they have expressed. appropriately, when a complaint they may have thought to be appropriately evaluated. they will be, i assure you. i have taken appropriate note and i have had a great...